星际特工
Scholar: Pelosi's Taiwan Visit to Deal Heavy Blow to US-China Ties, Inflict Damage on Taipei_我的网站

一 | "The actual intentions of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan are inevitably sophisticated," says Dr. Chang Ching, a research fellow from the Taiwan-based Society for Strategic Studies and a lead military expert on the People's Liberation Army and regional security in Taiwan.,"To acquire a historical reputation is the obvious factor identified by many politicians. Delivering political signals to Beijing can also be another reason. Attempting to shape the political developments in Taiwan has been accused by certain political commentators as well. Nonetheless, the Chinese media basically define her maneuver as an 'impulsively sneaky visit,' which is a term generally applied to those people who are defined as politically hostile to the Beijing regime visiting certain territories protested by the People’s Republic of China," Dr. Chang continued.,Pundits have speculated about the possibility of Pelosi visiting Taiwan and China's reaction since April 2022; Beijing has clearly demonstrated its fierce opposition to the high-profile visit. After her tour was canceled in the spring after the House speaker reportedly got COVID-19, the debate got its second wind in July.,Pelosi neither officially confirmed nor denied her intent to visit Taipei. Likewise, the White House tried to distance itself from the Democratic politician's trip to Taiwan, while at the same time arguing that such a tour is by no means "uncommon" and that the US "shouldn’t be intimidated by [China's] rhetoric or... potential actions.",Pelosi Provocation Over Taiwan Leads US, World Into Age of Disorder And Instability: Martin Jacques10:27 GMT,"The worst indication reflected by Pelosi’s visit is the decline of the United States that no American politicians are willing to admit," says the Chinese scholar. "If Washington still keeps sufficient confidence to condition Beijing’s reactions to this issue, President Biden himself and his senior members of the government would not show their reluctance to support Pelosi’s visit. The differences between the executive branch and the legislative branch of the United States government on this visit are so clear to see.",Dr. Chang wonders why Pelosi chose to keep her Taiwan visit secret until the last moment. He notes that the House speaker cited "security concerns" over her travel plan.,"Actually, it is a matter of Pelosi’s integrity and also causing more speculations on the so-called American security commitments to Taiwan," says the scholar. "If the Speaker herself has no full confidence of security during her presence in Taiwan, how can people in Taiwan trust the United States is capable of supportive while Taiwan is in danger?",According to Dr. Chang, China has long been very clear about its "red lines" with regard to Taiwan. Therefore, "certain serious consequences can be expected," he notes, ruling out, however, a "full scale invasion or other form of armed conflict.",The scholar points out that there are many measures available in Beijing's toolbox towards Taiwan for conditioning Taipei’s political maneuvers. What's more, the Taipei leadership is "well aware of how damaging [Pelosi's] visit can be" for the island, he adds.,"What can the possible consequences be? It all depends on how Taipei will react to those measures towards Taiwan," says Dr. Chang. "After all, it is literally an interactive process. It takes two to tango. Whether it will turn into a negative spiral or on the contrary to a positive spiral is not merely decided by Beijing. Taipei’s reactions are also important. Also, Beijing will not only try to condition Taipei like many western media [outlets] expected but also press Washington at the same time. The possibility of any mutual cooperation between Beijing and Washington on any global issues has basically vanished in the near future. The difficulties of reconciliation by these two powers will also increase dramatically.",All the aforementioned negative consequences will be unquestionably associated with Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her ill-fated decision to visit Taiwan, according to the scholar.。

二 | 在前两周分站赛中,中国女排累积五胜三负,暂列积分榜第六。

三 | 在索非亚站的角逐中,中国女排的对手依次是巴西女排、波兰女排、多米尼加女排和韩国女排。一共有16支队伍参加今年的联赛,在分站赛进入积分榜前八的队伍获得总决赛入场券。中国女排需要在索非亚站力争更多胜利,才能挺进前八并参加7月13日在土耳其举行的总决赛。巴西女排曾在2008年和2012年两夺奥运冠军。2016年里约奥运会,主场作战的巴西女排在1/4决赛遭遇中国女排惊天大逆转,以2比3出局,这也是两队在国际赛场最荡气回肠的经典一役。去年东京奥运会,巴西女排挺进决赛,最后不敌美国女排摘银。这支南美老牌劲旅在巴黎奥运周期继续由老帅吉马良斯执掌。该队在新老交替的力度不亚于中国女排,此次的参赛阵容仅保留了6名东京奥运参赛主力,吉马良斯把大部分名额留给了年轻队员。在前两周分站赛上,巴西女排累积六胜两负,暂列第三。

四 | 中国女排在这场比赛中的首发阵容由主攻李盈莹、王云蕗,副攻袁心玥、王媛媛,接应龚翔宇,二传刁琳宇和自由人王唯漪组成。陈佩妍在第二局打成13比17之际被换上场,这是她在今年联赛期间第一次登场,也是入选新一届中国女排以来首度亮相国际赛场。以20比25和23比25连丢两局后,中国女排逐渐找到克制对手的办法,除了李盈莹和龚翔宇火力全开之外,副攻线上的得分也逐渐增多,并以25比18和25比21连扳两局,在大比分上打成2比2。

五 | 中国女排在决胜局前半段心态过急,以5比8落后。蔡斌在技术暂停期间提醒队员,出手要果断。趁着巴西女排同样出现起伏,中国女排一度追至9比10,可惜还是未能扭转局面,中国女排最后以11比15惜败。对中国女排应多些宽容 在这场角逐之前,前中国男排主教练汪嘉伟在接受采访时力挺昔日弟子蔡斌,称赞他头脑灵活,呼吁外界在胜负上对现阶段的中国女排多一些宽容,毕竟这并不算世界顶级赛事,而且两大绝对主力朱婷和张常宁还未回归。

六 | 汪嘉伟调侃才50多岁的蔡斌其实在中国女排主教练这个位置上还是“菜鸟”,所以外界应该对他以及中国女排都不要太心急。“每个队伍都有低谷期,要慢慢来。所有运动都有这样的规律,尤其是奥运会之后,很多队伍为了下一个四年甚至八年作准备。

七 | 我们换了很多新人,第一年就要取得好成绩,这是不现实的。”他认为,虽然蔡斌在比赛中积极起用年轻主攻,但始终未有比朱张二人更胜任的人选出现。“一旦朱婷回来了,这个位置就是朱婷的,她回来后力量要翻倍的。”不过,汪嘉伟认为,中国女排输给美国女排和日本女排都是情有可原,但输给泰国女排确实不应该,这一点他还要好好总结。
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